Global Trade and Corporate Earnings: EU Targets WTO Reform, USTR Cautious on China, Defense Stocks Upgraded

Global trade policy is facing significant potential changes as the European Union advocates for reforms to the World Trade Organization's (WTO) "Most Favoured Nation" (MFN) trade rules. This move could reshape how countries interact economically, as the MFN principle generally requires WTO members to treat all trading partners equally. The EU's push for modernization comes amidst broader calls for WTO reform to address current gaps in the rulebook concerning issues like subsidies and state-owned enterprises.

Meanwhile, U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer offered a cautious outlook on a comprehensive trade deal with China, stating uncertainty about achieving such an agreement. Greer suggested that a series of smaller, non-sensitive agreements or arrangements might be a more likely path forward. Despite the broader trade complexities, Greer highlighted positive developments, including robust sales of agricultural goods to China and a consistent flow of rare earths from the nation. He also emphasized the administration's readiness to implement alternative tariffs immediately should the Supreme Court rule against President Trump's existing tariffs, underscoring a commitment to using tariffs as a trade policy tool.

In corporate news, defense contractors are seeing increased optimism from analysts. RBC Capital notably raised its target price for Lockheed Martin (LMT) to $615 from $525. Similarly, RBC also increased its target price for RTX Corp (RTX) to $220 from $200. These upgrades reflect a positive sentiment in the defense sector.

In the technology and software space, Netflix (NFLX) experienced a 7% drop in pre-market trading. This decline occurred despite the company reporting a modest earnings beat for the fourth quarter, with EPS of $0.56 against an estimate of $0.55, and revenue of $12.05 billion exceeding the $11.97 billion consensus. Investor concern shifted to the streaming giant's light Q1 profit view and the costly and uncertain bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) assets, which also led to a pause in share buybacks.

Conversely, Progress Software (PRGS) saw its shares climb 6.5% in pre-market activity. The software provider reported strong fourth-quarter results, beating analyst estimates with $1.51 EPS against a $1.31 consensus and revenue of $252.67 million. The company also provided robust guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue between $986 million and $1 billion, a 1%-2% increase over 2025, signaling strong future growth and market confidence.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not financial professionals. The authors and/or site operators may hold positions in the companies or assets mentioned. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.
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