High volatility is expected Today with ADP Employment Change at 8:15 AM EST and GDP at 8:30 AM EST. The Fed's rate decision at 2:00 PM EST and Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM EST are critical, as rates are expected to hold steady despite political pressure. ADP employment surprised higher this morning. Focus shifts to Tomorrow's Core PCE at 8:30 AM EST for inflation cues, and Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings at 8:30 AM EST, plus ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 AM EST. These labor and inflation metrics will heavily influence future Fed policy amidst ongoing tariff uncertainties.
Traders should brace for volatility around Today's Fed announcements; any hawkish tilt from Powell could strengthen the dollar. Monitor Tomorrow's PCE inflation data and Friday's jobs report for clearer signals on the Fed's path, as strong data could push back rate cut expectations. Position accordingly.
Ed Liston is a senior contributing editor at TheStockMarketWatch.com. An active market watcher and investor, Ed guides an independent team of experienced analysts and writes for multiple stock trader publications.