{"id":52338,"date":"2025-08-26T01:08:33","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T05:08:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/seb-forecasts-riksbank-rate-cut-amid-revised-swedish-growth-u-s-treasury-yields-show-mixed-movement\/52338\/"},"modified":"2025-08-26T01:08:33","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T05:08:33","slug":"seb-forecasts-riksbank-rate-cut-amid-revised-swedish-growth-u-s-treasury-yields-show-mixed-movement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/seb-forecasts-riksbank-rate-cut-amid-revised-swedish-growth-u-s-treasury-yields-show-mixed-movement\/52338\/","title":{"rendered":"SEB Forecasts Riksbank Rate Cut Amid Revised Swedish Growth; U.S. Treasury Yields Show Mixed Movement"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>SEB<\/strong> maintains its expectation that the <strong>Riksbank<\/strong> will implement a <strong>rate cut in September<\/strong>, signaling continued monetary easing in Sweden.<\/li>\n<li>The bank has significantly revised its <strong>Swedish GDP growth forecasts downward<\/strong>, now projecting <strong>1.1% for 2025<\/strong> (down from 1.6% in May) and <strong>2.7% for 2026<\/strong> (down from 2.9%), reflecting a more cautious economic outlook.<\/li>\n<li>U.S. Treasury markets saw mixed activity, with the <strong>2-Year Treasury yield declining 1.5 basis points to 3.715%<\/strong>, while the <strong>30-Year Treasury yield rose 5 basis points to 4.939%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>SEB, a leading Nordic financial services group, continues to anticipate a monetary policy easing from the Swedish central bank, the Riksbank, with a <strong>rate cut expected in September<\/strong>. This outlook comes as the Riksbank has been on an easing cycle, with previous cuts noted in 2024 and a policy rate cut to 2% in June 2025. Analysts at SEB, including FX and fixed income strategist Amanda Sundstr\u00f6m, believe the Riksbank will opt for a September cut to allow more time to assess the evolving economic landscape both domestically and globally.<\/p>\n<p>The expectation of further easing is underpinned by SEB&#39;s latest economic projections for Sweden, which show a notable <em>downward revision<\/em> in GDP growth forecasts. The bank now expects <strong>Swedish GDP to grow by 1.1% in 2025<\/strong>, a reduction from its previous forecast of 1.6% made in May. Similarly, the growth outlook for <strong>2026 has been lowered to 2.7%<\/strong> from an earlier estimate of 2.9%. These revisions highlight a more subdued economic recovery than previously anticipated, influenced by factors such as global trade tensions and domestic economic conditions.<\/p>\n<p>In the United States, Treasury yields experienced divergent movements. The <strong>U.S. 2-Year Treasury yield<\/strong> saw a modest decline, falling by <strong>1.5 basis points<\/strong> to settle at <strong>3.715%<\/strong>. Conversely, the longer end of the curve moved higher, with the <strong>U.S. 30-Year Treasury yield increasing by 5 basis points<\/strong> to reach <strong>4.939%<\/strong>. These movements reflect ongoing market adjustments to economic data, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policy outlooks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways SEB maintains its expectation that the Riksbank will implement a rate cut in September, signaling continued monetary easing 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