{"id":53543,"date":"2025-09-24T02:00:40","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T06:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/the-trump-market-where-logic-takes-a-holiday-and-stocks-go-wild\/53543\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T02:00:40","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T06:00:40","slug":"the-trump-market-where-logic-takes-a-holiday-and-stocks-go-wild","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/the-trump-market-where-logic-takes-a-holiday-and-stocks-go-wild\/53543\/","title":{"rendered":"The Trump Market: Where Logic Takes a Holiday, and Stocks Go Wild"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ah, the financial markets. A bastion of rational thought, meticulous analysis, and predictable outcomes. Or so the textbooks claim. In the era of former President Donald Trump, however, this venerable institution often resembles a high-stakes game of whack-a-mole, with market movements less dictated by traditional fundamentals and more by a tweet, a press conference, or a sudden, unexpected policy pivot. The past few days alone have offered a masterclass in this unique brand of market volatility, proving once again that when it comes to the Trump effect, expect the unexpected, and perhaps, a touch of chaos.<\/p>\n<h2>The Tylenol Tumble and Triumph: A Pharmaceutical Rollercoaster<\/h2>\n<p>Consider, if you will, the curious case of <a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>Kenvue<\/a>, the consumer health giant behind Tylenol. On Monday, September 22, 2025, shares of <a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>Kenvue<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>KVUE<\/a>) experienced a rather dramatic descent, plunging 7.5% after President Trump publicly linked the popular pain reliever to autism during a White House press conference. This pronouncement, delivered with characteristic conviction and a dozen repetitions of &#8220;Don&#8217;t take Tylenol&#8221; to pregnant women, sent ripples of concern through investors.<\/p>\n<p>The company, naturally, was quick to &#8220;strongly disagree&#8221; with any such connection, asserting that &#8220;independent, sound science clearly shows that acetaminophen does not cause autism&#8221;. Medical professionals echoed this sentiment, with epidemiologist Ann Bauer noting that &#8220;more definitive studies&#8221; are needed to establish a direct causal link, and that Tylenol remains the &#8220;best option&#8221; for some patients.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, the market, ever the fickle beast, initially reacted with a swift sell-off, wiping approximately $2.6 billion from <a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>Kenvue<\/a>&#8216;s market value. However, in a twist that would make a seasoned market analyst raise an eyebrow, <a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>Kenvue<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>KVUE<\/a>) shares staged a remarkable comeback the very next day. By Tuesday&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/movers\/premarket\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" title=\"Premarket Movers\">pre-market trading<\/a>, the stock had rebounded over 6%, recouping most of its losses. Citi Investment Research analyst Filippo Falorni observed &#8220;limited risk of new lawsuits&#8221; but cautioned about potential &#8220;risk to Tylenol consumption given the negative headlines&#8221;. Meanwhile, Canaccord Genuity analyst Susan Anderson pointed out that the primary risk now centered on &#8220;public opinion on the brand&#8221;. Morningstar analyst Keonhee Kim, ever the pragmatist, didn&#8217;t anticipate a lasting sales impact on such an established brand. It seems some investors had braced for a far worse outcome, perhaps an &#8220;outright ban&#8221; or the revelation of &#8220;new scientific data&#8221; definitively linking the drug to autism, making the actual (lack of) new evidence a &#8220;better-than-feared&#8221; scenario. The market, it appears, can be relieved by the absence of a catastrophe it itself conjured.<\/p>\n<h2>Lithium&#8217;s Sudden Spark: A Presidential Endorsement<\/h2>\n<p>While <a href='\/stock\/KVUE'>Kenvue<\/a> was busy recovering from a verbal assault, <a href='\/stock\/LAC'>Lithium Americas<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/LAC'>LAC<\/a>) found itself basking in the warm glow of presidential approval. On Tuesday, September 23, 2025, the Canadian mining firm&#8217;s shares surged an astonishing 98.7% to $6.10 in after-hours trading. The catalyst? Reports that the Trump administration was actively seeking an equity stake of up to 10% in the company. This sudden interest is tied to the renegotiation of a $2.3 billion Department of Energy loan for <a href='\/stock\/LAC'>Lithium Americas<\/a>&#8216; Thacker Pass project in Nevada, a deposit touted as the largest of its kind in the Western Hemisphere.<\/p>\n<p>This move is part of the administration&#8217;s &#8220;intensified efforts to secure domestic supply chains for critical minerals&#8221; and, rather pointedly, to &#8220;reduce reliance on China&#8221;. It marks the third instance of direct equity involvement in key sectors, following similar stakes in <a href='\/stock\/INTC'>Intel<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/INTC'>INTC<\/a>) and rare earth producer <a href='\/stock\/MP'>MP Materials<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/MP'>MP<\/a>). A White House official, with a straight face, confirmed the negotiations, describing the targeted stake as &#8220;small&#8221; but emphasizing, &#8220;There&#8217;s no such thing as free money&#8221;. Apparently, a near-100% stock surge is just a small token of appreciation for government interest. General Motors (<a href='\/stock\/GM'>GM<\/a>), which holds a 38% stake in Thacker Pass and rights to its lithium output, is now being urged to cede partial control to the government and provide written purchase commitments. Because nothing says free markets like government-mandated purchase agreements.<\/p>\n<h2>Truth Social&#8217;s Tangled Tapes: A Different Kind of Volatility<\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, the digital realm offers its own peculiar brand of Trump-induced market drama. Trump Media &#038; Technology Group (<a href='\/stock\/DJT'>DJT<\/a>), the parent company of Truth Social, continues its rather challenging financial journey. The company reported a Q1 operating loss of $12.1 million (adjusted EBITDA), with a GAAP net loss ballooning to $327.6 million, largely due to non-cash expenses from converting promissory notes. For the full year 2024, the net loss reportedly hit $400.9 million. Revenue for Q1 stood at a modest $770,500, primarily from early advertising efforts.<\/p>\n<p>Unsurprisingly, the stock has been on a &#8220;downward slide&#8221;, plummeting 21.47% to $48.66 at one point and hitting 52-week lows in late September. It even shed 34% of its value from a high of $51.51 in late October 2024. Analysts consistently note that <a href='\/stock\/DJT'>DJT<\/a> shares often behave like &#8220;meme stocks,&#8221; driven more by social media buzz and investor sentiment than by underlying business fundamentals. From an earnings and revenue perspective, the company remains &#8220;massively overvalued&#8221;. It seems even presidential charisma has its limits when confronted with a balance sheet.<\/p>\n<h2>Tariff Tango and Global Jitters: The Art of the Deal, Redux<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond individual stock sagas, President Trump&#8217;s penchant for tariff threats continues to keep global markets on their toes. This week, he reiterated his readiness to impose a &#8220;very strong round of powerful tariffs&#8221; on Russia if a deal isn&#8217;t reached to end the Ukraine war. Not content with just Russia, he also threatened to increase tariffs on India. He even urged European nations to join the U.S. in these measures and &#8220;immediately cease all energy purchases from Russia,&#8221; lest everyone be &#8220;wasting a lot of time&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>The immediate market reaction to these pronouncements was, predictably, mixed. On Tuesday, September 23, 2025, U.S. equities saw a tug-of-war: the <a href='\/stock\/SPY'>SPDR S&#038;P 500 ETF<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/SPY'>SPY<\/a>) dipped 0.18%, while the <a href='\/stock\/DIA'>SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/DIA'>DIA<\/a>) managed a modest gain of 0.15%, and the <a href='\/stock\/QQQ'>Nasdaq-100 tracking Invesco QQQ Trust<\/a> (<a href='\/stock\/QQQ'>QQQ<\/a>) slid 0.20%. Analysts at J.P. Morgan Global Research anticipate the U.S. effective tariff rate to approach 20%, a significant jump from 2.3% at the end of 2024. The Congressional Budget Office (<a href=\"https:\/\/thestockmarketwatch.com\/stock\/?stock=CBO\">CBO<\/a>) suggests tariffs are pushing inflation higher, though perhaps less dramatically than initially feared, while also potentially cutting the deficit more than expected. Some analysts even contend that tariffs are &#8220;suppressing wage growth&#8221; as companies absorb costs. It&#8217;s a complex economic dance, where every step taken by the executive branch sends ripples, sometimes contradictory, across the financial landscape.<\/p>\n<h2>Government Gridlock: A Market Paradox<\/h2>\n<p>Adding another layer of intrigue to this already vibrant market tapestry is the perennial threat of a U.S. government shutdown. With President Trump scrapping talks with Democrats, the risk of a shutdown looms large as the September 30 funding deadline approaches. Conventional wisdom might suggest that such political paralysis would send markets into a tailspin. However, history, in its infinite wisdom, often offers a different narrative.<\/p>\n<p>According to historical data, U.S. stocks have, counterintuitively, &#8220;actually risen in most cases&#8221; during past government shutdowns. The <a href='\/stock\/SPX'>S&#038;P 500<\/a> index, for instance, rose in the four most recent closures lasting five or more trading days. Yet, the immediate sentiment was cautious; stock futures for the <a href='\/stock\/DIA'>Dow<\/a>, <a href='\/stock\/SPX'>S&#038;P 500<\/a>, and <a href='\/stock\/NDX'>Nasdaq-100<\/a> slipped around 0.3% in early Monday trading (September 22, 2025), attributed to &#8220;profit-taking ahead of event risk&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/metal\/gold\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"4\" title=\"gold price today\">Gold<\/a>, that timeless safe haven, surged to fresh records above $3,750\/oz, signaling investor anxiety amid &#8220;fiscal brinkmanship&#8221;. The VIX, often called the &#8220;fear index,&#8221; also rose to 16.10 (+4.21%). So, while the long-term historical trend might offer a shrug, the short-term reality is a nervous twitch, proving that even a well-worn playbook can be subject to presidential improvisation.<\/p>\n<p>In conclusion, the markets under Donald Trump remain a fascinating, if not occasionally exasperating, spectacle. From pharmaceutical pronouncements that send stocks reeling and then rebounding, to direct government investments that ignite lithium miners, and the ever-present threat of tariffs and shutdowns, the financial world continues to navigate a landscape where policy and personality are inextricably linked. For investors, it&#8217;s less about predicting economic cycles and more about anticipating the next headline. And for the rest of us, it&#8217;s a reminder that sometimes, the most logical response to market volatility is a good, strong cup of coffee and a healthy dose of observational snark.<\/p>\n<p><i><b>DISCLAIMER: <\/b> We read Trump&#8217;s posts so you don&#8217;t have to. This is comedy meets market data, not financial advice. Not political advice either &#8211; we just like charts and chaos.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ah, the financial markets. A bastion of rational thought, meticulous analysis, and predictable outcomes. Or so the textbooks claim. In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":50312,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"rank_math_schema_Article":[],"rank_math_focus_keyword":[],"rank_math_description":[],"financial_data_references":[],"stock_symbols_mentioned":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4331],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trump-stock-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53543","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53543"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53543\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}