{"id":58807,"date":"2026-02-19T17:38:28","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T21:38:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/newmont-crushes-estimates-as-walmart-warns-of-hiring-recession-and-trade-volatility\/58807\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T17:38:28","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T21:38:28","slug":"newmont-crushes-estimates-as-walmart-warns-of-hiring-recession-and-trade-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/newmont-crushes-estimates-as-walmart-warns-of-hiring-recession-and-trade-volatility\/58807\/","title":{"rendered":"Newmont Crushes Estimates as Walmart Warns of &#8220;Hiring Recession&#8221; and Trade Volatility"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Newmont (<a href=\"\/stock\/NEM\">NEM<\/a>) delivered a massive Q4 beat<\/strong> with adjusted EPS of <strong>$2.52<\/strong> against the <strong>$2.02<\/strong> estimate, alongside a lower-than-expected 2026 cost guidance of <strong>$1,680\/oz AISC<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Walmart (<a href=\"\/stock\/WMT\">WMT<\/a>) issued a cautious outlook<\/strong>, with CFO John David Rainey citing a <strong>&quot;hiring recession&quot;<\/strong> and rising consumer debt delinquencies as primary headwinds.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Netflix (<a href=\"\/stock\/NFLX\">NFLX<\/a>) plans to leverage Warner Bros. Discovery (<a href=\"\/stock\/WBD\">WBD<\/a>) assets<\/strong> to increase theatrical releases, though leadership remains non-committal on a guaranteed 45-day exclusivity window.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Venezuela\u2019s energy sector remains in crisis<\/strong>, with refineries currently processing only <strong>450,000 barrels per day<\/strong>, representing just <strong>35% of total capacity<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market strategists are signaling a &quot;regime change&quot;<\/strong> in the historical correlation between the <strong>U.S. dollar and domestic employment data<\/strong>, suggesting traditional economic models may be shifting.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Newmont Surges on Blowout Earnings and Cost Efficiency<\/h2>\n<p>Newmont (<a href=\"\/stock\/NEM\">NEM<\/a>) shares are in focus after the <a href=\"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/metal\/gold\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"4\" title=\"gold price today\">gold<\/a> mining giant reported fourth-quarter 2025 sales of <strong>$6.82 billion<\/strong>, handily beating the <strong>$6.30 billion<\/strong> consensus. The company\u2019s adjusted EPS of <strong>$2.52<\/strong> outpaced expectations by <strong>$0.50<\/strong>, driven by attributable gold production of <strong>1.45 million ounces<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead to 2026, the company provided a robust outlook with production targets of approximately <strong>5.3 million ounces<\/strong>. Most significantly, Newmont (<a href=\"\/stock\/NEM\">NEM<\/a>) expects its All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) to hover near <strong>$1,680\/oz<\/strong>, well below the <strong>$1,780<\/strong> analysts had anticipated, signaling <em>stronger potential margins<\/em> in the coming fiscal year.<\/p>\n<h2>Walmart Cautions on &quot;Hiring Recession&quot; and Policy Volatility<\/h2>\n<p>Walmart (<a href=\"\/stock\/WMT\">WMT<\/a>) provided a sobering update on the retail landscape, warning of a potential slowdown in earnings growth. CFO <strong>John David Rainey<\/strong> highlighted a <strong>&quot;hiring recession&quot;<\/strong> and a notable uptick in consumer debt delinquencies as signs of a cooling economy.<\/p>\n<p>The retail giant also pointed to <em>trade volatility<\/em> as a significant risk factor, specifically citing policy uncertainties under the <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> administration. Rainey noted that the company is bracing for fluctuations as trade and tariff discussions continue to impact global supply chains.<\/p>\n<h2>Netflix Outlines Theatrical Strategy for WBD Acquisition<\/h2>\n<p>Netflix (<a href=\"\/stock\/NFLX\">NFLX<\/a>) co-CEO <strong>Ted Sarandos<\/strong> addressed the streaming giant\u2019s planned acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (<a href=\"\/stock\/WBD\">WBD<\/a>), emphasizing a shift toward more theatrical releases. Sarandos stated that the deal would allow Netflix (<a href=\"\/stock\/NFLX\">NFLX<\/a>) to utilize the studio\u2019s established distribution network to put more films in cinemas.<\/p>\n<p>However, Sarandos stopped short of offering a written guarantee for a <strong>45-day theatrical exclusivity window<\/strong>. While the move signals a <em>departure from Netflix\u2019s streaming-first roots<\/em>, the refusal to commit to a fixed window suggests the company intends to maintain flexibility in how it monetizes its newly acquired content library.<\/p>\n<h2>Energy and Macro: Venezuela Struggles and Dollar Regime Shift<\/h2>\n<p>In the energy sector, sources report that <strong>Venezuela\u2019s<\/strong> refining infrastructure continues to operate at a fraction of its potential. Processing only <strong>450,000 barrels per day<\/strong>, the nation&#39;s refineries are running at roughly <strong>35% capacity<\/strong>, underscoring the <em>persistent infrastructure decay<\/em> and operational hurdles facing the country.<\/p>\n<p>On the macroeconomic front, a former <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> strategist warned of a fundamental <strong>&quot;regime change&quot;<\/strong> regarding the link between the <strong>U.S. dollar<\/strong> and the labor market. The strategist suggested that the traditional sensitivity of the dollar to jobs data is evolving, a shift that could have <em>profound implications<\/em> for currency traders and Federal Reserve policy expectations in 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways Newmont (NEM) delivered a massive Q4 beat with adjusted EPS of $2.52 against the $2.02 estimate, alongside a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50383,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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