{"id":63151,"date":"2026-06-14T14:38:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T18:38:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/israel-assesses-imminent-trump-concession-to-iran-to-avert-retaliation\/63151\/"},"modified":"2026-06-14T14:38:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T18:38:12","slug":"israel-assesses-imminent-trump-concession-to-iran-to-avert-retaliation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.stockmarketwatch.com\/stock-market-news\/israel-assesses-imminent-trump-concession-to-iran-to-avert-retaliation\/63151\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel Assesses Imminent Trump Concession to Iran to Avert Retaliation"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Israeli intelligence assesses that President Donald Trump will soon announce a major concession to Iran<\/strong> to prevent a retaliatory strike following an Israeli attack on the Dahiyeh suburb of Beirut.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Back-channel diplomatic efforts are currently underway<\/strong> to finalize a memorandum of understanding (MOU) that could be signed as early as Sunday, June 14, 2026.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The proposed deal reportedly includes the release of $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets<\/strong> and the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade on Iranian ports in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tensions remain high as Iran\u2019s top negotiators express skepticism,<\/strong> labeling the Israeli strikes in Lebanon a violation that undermines the credibility of U.S. mediation efforts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Israeli officials, including Channel 12\u2019s Yaron Avraham, report that the <strong>Trump administration is moving aggressively to offer Tehran an &quot;incentive&quot; or concession<\/strong> to ensure the regional conflict does not escalate further. This assessment comes as <strong>Israel remains on high alert for potential ballistic missile fire<\/strong> from Iran following a precision strike on a Hezbollah command center in Beirut\u2019s Dahiyeh district.<\/p>\n<p>President Donald Trump stated on Saturday that a deal is &quot;scheduled to get signed tomorrow,&quot; which would <strong>immediately reopen the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping.<\/strong> The agreement is expected to include a 60-day period for negotiations on Tehran&#39;s nuclear program and the <strong>suspension of sanctions on Iranian oil and petrochemical products.<\/strong> However, Iranian officials have been more circumspect, with state media suggesting that no final decision has been made despite the U.S. pronouncement.<\/p>\n<p>The geopolitical uncertainty has significant implications for global markets, particularly in the energy and defense sectors. While <strong>crude <a href=\"https:\/\/stockmarketwatch.com\/energy\/crude-oil\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"12\" title=\"Crude oil\">oil prices<\/a> have fluctuated amid the uncertainty of the deal,<\/strong> defense contractors continue to see high activity; notably, IAM union members at Lockheed Martin (<a href=\"\/stock\/LMT\">LMT<\/a>)&#39;s Fort Worth facility recently voted to accept a new agreement effective June 15. <em>Market analysts suggest that a successful signing could lead to a sharp decline in the geopolitical risk premium currently priced into oil.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Despite the optimism from Washington, <strong>Iran\u2019s Supreme National Security Council has signaled that a response to the Israeli attack on Lebanon is &quot;on the way.&quot;<\/strong> Iranian negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf criticized the U.S. for its inability to restrain Israel, stating there is &quot;no point&quot; in talks if commitments cannot be fulfilled. <em>The success of the back-channel efforts hinges on whether the promised concessions can outweigh the domestic pressure within Tehran to retaliate for the Dahiyeh strike.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways Israeli intelligence assesses that President Donald Trump will soon announce a major concession to Iran to prevent a 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