EU-India Trade Deal Gains Momentum as Finland’s Orpo Meets Modi; BAT Reaffirms FY26 Outlook

Key Takeaways

  • EU-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is moving toward implementation with no obstacles reported following last week’s European Council meeting.
  • Finland’s Prime Minister Petteri Orpo emphasized the need for free trade over tariffs, noting the deal could double EU exports to India by 2032.
  • Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi reportedly stressed his ongoing efforts to find solutions to the Ukraine crisis during bilateral talks.
  • British American Tobacco (BTI) reaffirmed its FY26 guidance, though it expects performance to sit at the lower end of its 3-5% revenue growth range.
  • The landmark trade deal will significantly slash Indian import duties, including a reduction in car tariffs from 110% to 10% over the next decade.

EU-India Trade Deal and Diplomatic Breakthrough

Finland’s Prime Minister Petteri Orpo confirmed today that the EU-India Free Trade Agreement is seeing strong support across the European Council. Speaking after a bilateral meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Orpo stated that European leaders were "very pleased" with the progress made last week. The deal, which concluded negotiations in late January 2026, is viewed as a critical hedge against rising global protectionism and volatile trade relations.

The agreement is expected to provide unprecedented market access, eliminating or reducing tariffs on 96.6% of EU goods exports to India. For European manufacturers, the deal is particularly significant as it addresses long-standing barriers in the automotive and pharmaceutical sectors. Industry analysts suggest the removal of car part tariffs within a decade will give European auto giants a substantial competitive edge in the world's most populous market.

Geopolitical Stance on Ukraine

During their high-level discussions in New Delhi, the two leaders also addressed the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe. Prime Minister Orpo made the Finnish and European positions clear, advocating for continued support for Ukraine and increased pressure on Russia to achieve a lasting peace. In response, PM Modi indicated that India is actively working towards finding solutions to the crisis, maintaining its role as a potential mediator.

This diplomatic exchange occurs as Finland and India seek to deepen their Strategic Partnership, specifically in the realms of digitalization, AI, and sustainability. Orpo’s visit, accompanied by a delegation of 22 Finnish companies, highlights the growing economic synergy between the two nations. The focus on "sovereign AI" and trusted digital infrastructure remains a cornerstone of this evolving bilateral relationship.

British American Tobacco Financial Outlook

In the corporate sector, British American Tobacco (BTI) provided a financial update today at the Consumer Analyst Group of New York (CAGNY) Conference. The company reaffirmed its FY26 guidance, targeting 3-5% revenue growth on a constant-currency basis. However, management signaled that performance is currently tracking toward the lower end of that range as the company continues its multi-year business transformation.

British American Tobacco (BTI) also projected 4-6% adjusted profit growth from operations and 5-8% adjusted diluted EPS growth. The tobacco giant is increasingly relying on its "New Categories" segment, which includes smokeless products like Vuse and Velo. As of late 2025, these products accounted for 18.2% of the group's £25.6 billion revenue, with a long-term goal for smokeless products to deliver 50% of total revenue by 2035.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not financial professionals. The authors and/or site operators may hold positions in the companies or assets mentioned. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.
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