Trade Tensions and EV Market Slowdown: Lutnick Casts Doubt on USMCA as Global Sales Slump

This update was written automatically with AI from market data and news wire reports, and published without review by a person.

Key Takeaways

  • U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has signaled a shift toward bilateral trade negotiations, casting significant doubt on the future of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
  • Global Electric Vehicle (EV) sales fell 2% in September 2026, totaling 2.15 million units and ending a six-month growth streak as weakness in China and North America offset record European demand.
  • North American EV sales plummeted 44% year-over-year, largely attributed to the expiration of federal tax credits and high-interest rate environments.
  • Mexico and the U.S. are attempting to finalize a deal on steel and auto tariffs before the November midterm elections, despite the broader breakdown in trilateral cooperation.

Trade Policy: Lutnick Challenges USMCA Framework

U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has intensified his criticism of the current North American trade structure, suggesting that the USMCA should be replaced by separate, bilateral agreements with Mexico and Canada. Speaking on the sidelines of recent trade discussions, Lutnick argued that the trilateral deal "needs to be reconsidered and reimagined," specifically targeting what he described as unfair trade imbalances.

The shift in rhetoric comes as Mexico seeks to resolve a deepening tariff stalemate. President Claudia Sheinbaum and Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard have been engaging in high-stakes negotiations to lower tariffs on Mexican autos and metals, which they argue are "unfairly" harming the regional economy. While progress has been reported on 54 non-tariff issues, the fundamental future of the trade pact remains in jeopardy.

Automotive Sector: Global EV Sales Hit a Roadblock

The global transition to electric mobility faced a setback in September as total sales dipped to 2.15 million vehicles, a 2% decline that halted a half-year of consistent growth. Data from Benchmark Mineral Intelligence reveals a stark divergence between regions: while Europe hit a record high with 600,000 units sold (up 10% from its previous peak), the rest of the world struggled.

In China, the world's largest EV market, sales dropped 18% to 1.11 million vehicles, forcing domestic giants like BYD (BYDDY) to pivot more aggressively toward export markets. Meanwhile, North America saw its steepest decline of the year, with sales falling 44%. Analysts note that this drop reflects a difficult comparison to the previous year when consumers rushed to buy vehicles before the expiration of federal tax credits.

Market Implications and Outlook

The cooling EV market is putting pressure on major manufacturers like Tesla (TSLA), which has seen fluctuating registration numbers across European markets. Despite the monthly dip, year-to-date global EV volumes remain up 3% at 15.5 million units, suggesting a "bumpy" rather than a collapsing trajectory for the industry.

Looking ahead, the intersection of trade policy and automotive manufacturing will be critical. If Lutnick successfully pushes for bilateral deals, the supply chains for companies like General Motors (GM) and Ford (F)—which rely heavily on the integrated North American market—could face significant disruption. Investors are closely watching the fourth round of trade talks scheduled for late September for any signs of a definitive framework.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not financial professionals. The authors and/or site operators may hold positions in the companies or assets mentioned. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.
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